UAE HOSPITALITY BAROMETER | GRIF X JUNIPER

We have collaborated with the Global Restaurant Investment Forum to produce the UAE Hospitality Industry Barometer - a real-time account of trading conditions, sentiment and operational responses across the sector. Drawing on a survey of hospitality leaders alongside analysis of historical recovery patterns accross a sample of global crises, the report provides both an immediate view of market performance and a forward-looking perspective on what may come next. It is designed to support operators, investors and industry leaders in navigating short-term uncertainty while planning for recovery.

Key highlights include:
- Average LFL decline of -27%, masking a wide dispersion of outcomes
- Performance is highly uneven, driven by location and demand mix
- Tourism- and office-led locations most exposed; residential areas more resilient
- Cost action widespread, with rent renegotiation and voluntary pay reductions primary levers
- Recovery typically within 12 to 24 months, based on historical precedent from global crisis analysis
-  Short-term confidence is cautious (net +3 over the next six months), 12-month outlook is significantly stronger (net +73)
- UAE structural fundamentals remain strong, supporting recovery